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We study the impact of the 1918 Spanish Flu on U.S. stock prices. We use the death rate to control for the impact of the global pandemic and war news reported in the New York Times to capture the positive effects of the end of World War I on stock prices. Using a new weekly hand collected NYSE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482574
reduced annualized volatility of NYSE returns by 90-173bps and increased asset values. Prior to clearing, shocks to overnight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458209
U.S. stock volatility is 33 percent lower during wartime and periods of conflict. This is true even for World Wars I … of the most surprising facts from two centuries of stock volatility data. We propose an explanation for the puzzle: the … reduces stock volatility. The sector level regressions show that defense spending predicts lower stock volatility for firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172137
financial stringency from the harvest season, with the rest of the year during the period 1870-1925. Stock volatility in the … period (1870- May 1908). We also find that the volatility of the call loan rate declined nearly 70 percent in September and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464225
Although it has been well established that financial volatility is related to news and macroeconomic shocks, there has … consol returns since 1729 and identify a greater-than-50% decline in volatility from the end of the Napoleonic wars in 1815 … volatility. Underlying political stability under Pax Britannica seems to be a more likely explanation, however …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467364
Stock return volatility during the Great Depression has been labeled a "volatility puzzle" because the standard …, and Jones; 1990). We investigate the "volatility puzzle" using a new series of building permits, a forward-looking measure … of economic activity. Our results suggest that the volatility of building permit growth largely explains the high level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455128