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We study the impact of non-pharmaceutical policy interventions (NPIs) like "stay-at-home" orders on the spread of infectious disease. Local policies have little impact on the economy nor on local public health. Stay-at-home is only weakly associated with slower growth of Covid-19 cases....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481683
We propose a novel theory of self-fulfilling unemployment fluctuations. According to this theory, a firm hiring an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459884
Standard models used for monetary policy analysis rely on sticky prices. Recently, the literature started to explore also nominal debt contracts. Focusing on mortgages, this paper compares the two channels of transmission within a common framework. The sticky price channel is dominant when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456066
We study the pricing of uncertainty shocks using a wide-ranging set of options that reveal premia for macroeconomic risks. Portfolios hedging macro uncertainty have historically earned zero or even significantly positive returns, while those exposed to the realization of large shocks have earned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
The question of whether and how mutual fund managers provide valuable services for their clients motivates one of the largest literatures in finance. One candidate explanation is that funds process information about future asset values and use that information to invest in high-valued assets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463199
This paper develops an overlapping generations model of optimal rebalancing where agents differ in age and risk tolerance. Equilibrium rebalancing is driven by a leverage effect that influences levered and unlevered agents in opposite directions, an aggregate risk tolerance effect that depends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452998
The ability of corporations to raise external equity finance varies with macroeconomic conditions, suggesting that the cost of equity issuance is time-varying. Using cross sectional data on U.S. publicly traded firms, we construct an empirical proxy of an aggregate shock to the cost of equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458455
depression, this paper embeds a trade-off theory of capital structure into a real business cycle model with a small, time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461632
The economic crisis associated with the emergence of the novel corona virus is unlike standard recessions. Demand for workers in high contact and inflexible service occupations has declined, while parental supply of labor has been reduced by lack of access to reliable child care and in-person...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482720
Using microdata for adults from the 1987-2000 years of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, I show that smoking and height-adjusted weight decline during temporary economic downturns while leisure-time physical activity rises. The drop in tobacco use occurs disproportionately among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469235