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We survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets. Our main theme is that many financial market phenomena that appear puzzling at first sight are easier to understand once we recognize that parameters in financial models are uncertain and subject to learning. We discuss phenomena...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464003
Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium, which measures the markets' perception of cyclical variation in future output growth, than growth stocks. The ICAPM then predicts a value risk premium provided that good news about future output lowers the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462964
they make stock recommendations. Our empirical results support the herding hypothesis. Stock price reactions following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465790
The paper examines interest rates in nine Latin American and East Asian countries during the period 1987-1994. The goal is to discover why interest rates have remained high, failing to converge to U.S. levels, despite capital market liberalization and a resurgence of portfolio capital inflows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473726
We study the role of information in asset pricing models with long-run cash flow risk. When investors can distinguish short- from long-run consumption risks (full information), the model generates a sizable equity risk premium only if the equity term structure slopes up, contrary to the data. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465744
We document a novel channel through which coordinated noise trading exerts externalities on financial markets dominated … suggest that giving retirement savers unconstrained reallocation opportunities may exert negative externalities on financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456514
volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462188
The non-tradability of human capital is often cited for the failure of traditional asset pricing theory to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462943
By allowing for imperfectly informed markets and the role of private information, we offer new insights about observed deviations of portfolio concentrations in domestic relative to foreign risky assets, or "home bias", from what standard finance models predict. Our model ascribes the "bias" to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462984
We use a fully-specified neoclassical model augmented with costly external equity as a laboratory to study the relations between stock returns and equity financing decisions. Simulations show that the model can simultaneously and in many cases quantitatively reproduce: procyclical equity issuance;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466657