Showing 1 - 10 of 312
The popular Nelson-Siegel (1987) yield curve is routinely fit to cross sections of intra-country bond yields, and Diebold and Li (2006) have recently proposed a dynamized version. In this paper we extend Diebold-Li to a global context, modeling a potentially large set of country yield curves in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465058
unconditional mean- variance efficiency of a world market portfolio, our evidence indicates that the tests are low in power, and the … world market betas do not provide a good explanation of cross-sectional differences in average returns. Multiple beta models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474312
risk-premium shocks--time-varying compensation for discount-rate and cash-flow news--which have distinct effects on stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482403
The largest commercial bank stocks, ranked by total size of the balance sheet, have significantly lower risk-adjusted returns than small- and medium-sized bank stocks, even though large banks are significantly more levered. We uncover a size factor in the component of bank returns that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462104
We apply the method of constrained asset share estimation (CASE) to test the mean-variance efficiency (MVE) of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474666
A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk … premium, commensurate with recent asset pricing models in which redistributive shocks shift the share of income between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457922
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469089
Household investors chase stock market returns. Surveys suggest that households intend to "ride the bubble" by buying stocks early in a boom and selling stocks early in a bust. This implies that households use only liquid assets to chase returns. I test this prediction using inflows to fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458307
Much recent work has documented evidence for predictability of asset returns. We show how such predictability can affect the portfolio choices of long-lived investors who value wealth not for its own sake but for the consumption their wealth can support. We develop an approximate solution method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470152