Showing 1 - 10 of 335
We review how realistic frictions in information and/or rationality arrest general equilibrium (GE) feedbacks. In one specification, we maintain rational expectations but remove common knowledge of aggregate shocks. In another, we replace rational expectations with Level-k Thinking or a smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938745
Urban flooding poses danger to people and places. People can adapt to this risk by moving to safer areas or by investing in private self-protection. Places can offset some of the risk through urban planning and infrastructure investment. By constructing a global city data set that covers the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334356
Current policies directed at mitigating global warming appear unlikely to prevent temperatures from rising to levels that would trigger a precipitous increase in the costs of climate change. Various attempts at international cooperation to avoid this outcome have failed. Why is this problem so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462728
This paper surveys the decline in real interest rates in advanced and emerging economies over the past several decades, linking that process to a range of global factors that have operated with different force in different periods. The paper argues that estimates of long-run equilibrium real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447270
Exchange-rate models fit very well for the U.S. dollar in the 21st century. A "standard" model that includes real interest rates and a measure of expected inflation for the U.S. and the foreign country, the U.S. comprehensive trade balance, and measures of global risk and liquidity demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056131
We present a dynamic two-country model in which military spending, geopolitical risk, and government bond prices are jointly determined. The model is consistent with three empirical facts: hegemons have a funding advantage, this advantage rises with geopolitical tensions, and war losers suffer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056136
The legitimacy of the world trading system is under growing attack, as challenges to its conformity with norms of … fairness and social justice are increasingly voiced by citizens and their governments around the world. Taking a novel "bottom …-related fairness concerns of their citizens. More generally, our findings point to a detailed understanding of real-world perceptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056179
Using data across countries and over time we show that women are unhappier than men in unhappiness and negative affect equations, irrespective of the measure used - anxiety, depression, fearfulness, sadness, loneliness, anger - and they have more days with bad mental health and more restless...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172192
The Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic were two major shocks to the world economy in the 21st century …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409788
Drawing insights from the field of innovation economics, we discuss the likely competitive environment shaping generative AI advances. Central to our analysis are the concepts of appropriability--whether firms in the industry are able to control the knowledge generated by their innovations--and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544752