Showing 1 - 10 of 364
Stock return volatility during the Great Depression has been labeled a "volatility puzzle" because the standard …, and Jones; 1990). We investigate the "volatility puzzle" using a new series of building permits, a forward-looking measure … of economic activity. Our results suggest that the volatility of building permit growth largely explains the high level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455128
This paper explores whether affine models with volatility jumps estimated on intradaily S&P 500 futures data over 1983 … typically small, and that self-exciting but short-lived volatility spikes capture intradaily and daily returns better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456646
In line with Keynes' intuition, volatility in the stock market and in real economic activity are linked by expectations …'s excess volatility puzzle with the business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337811
growth and volatility in developing countries. The results suggest that it is difficult to establish a robust causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467745
This overview introduces and summarizes the findings of a practical volume on managing volatility and crises. The … volatility leading to large output and economic growth costs, especially in poor countries. In these circumstances, good times do … cope with volatility also drive crises. Hence, the volume also focuses on the prevention and management of crises. It is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468091
This paper constructs a general equilibrium model with two types of people where asset price fluctuations are caused by random shocks to the price level that reallocate consumption across generations. In this model, asset prices are volatile, and price-earnings ratios are persistent, even though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456447
Does macroeconomic volatility/uncertainty affects accumulation of net foreign assets? In OECD economies over the period … 1970-2012, changes in country specific aggregate volatility are, after controlling for a wide array of factors …, significantly positively associated with net foreign asset position. An increase in volatility (measured as the standard deviation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457794
This paper estimates a business cycle model with endogenous financial asset supply and ambiguity averse investors. Firms' shareholders choose not only production and investment, but also capital structure and payout policy subject to financial frictions. An increase in uncertainty about profits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458583
The representative agent model (RA) has dominated macroeconomics for the last thirty years. This model does a reasonably good job of explaining the co-movements of consumption, investment, GDP and employment during normal times. But it cannot easily explain movements in asset prices. Two facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458706
This review article tries to answer four questions: (i) what are the stylized facts about uncertainty over time; (ii) why does uncertainty vary; (iii) do fluctuations in uncertainty matter; and (iv) did higher uncertainty worsen the Great Recession of 2007-2009? On the first question both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458949