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others used the gravity model on a much smaller data set to estimate the effects of the euro on trade among its members. The … that were estimated in the euro's first four years hold up in the second four years? The answer is yes. Second, and more … explanations for the gap between 15% and 200%. First, lags. The euro is still very young. Second, size. The European countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464108
This study grounds the establishment of EMU and the euro in the context of the history of international monetary … for a more expansive monetary policy. Such demands might arise in some parts or regions or countries of the euro area, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464832
At a time of historic challenges to the viability of the Eurozone, we assess the contribution of the EU and the Euro to … between member countries whether or not members have also adopted the Euro. The Euro adoption as well as the anticipation of … the Euro adoption has minimal effects on market integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462074
All of the attempts to end the euro crisis and to return the Eurozone countries to healthy growth rates of income and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457804
The creation of the euro should now be recognized as an experiment that has led to the sovereign debt crisis in several … exist in most Eurozone countries. Although the European Central Bank managed the euro in a way that achieved a low rate of …The emergence of these problems just a dozen years after the start of the euro in 1999 was not an accident or the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461040
"We identify a new set of stylized facts on the 2008-2009 trade collapse that we hope can be used to shed light on the importance of demand and supply-side factors in explaining the fall in trade. In particular, we decompose the fall in international trade into product entry and exit, price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011395038
This paper reconsiders the 1992-3 crisis in the European Monetary System in light of its emerging market successors. That episode was a predecessor of the Mexican and Asian crises in the sense that both capital movements and domestic financial fragility placed important roles. The output effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470695
What is the optimal number of currencies in the world? Common currencies affect trading costs and, thereby, the amounts of trade, output, and consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, the adoption of another country's currency trades off the benefits of commitment to price stability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470810
This paper applies a full-information technique to test for the presence of contagion across the money markets of ERM member countries. We show that whenever it is possible to estimate a model for interdependence, a test for contagion based on a full information technique is more powerful. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470953
Existing models of contagious currency crises are summarized and surveyed, and it is argued that more weight should be put on political factors. Towards this end, the concept of political contagion introduced, whereby contagion in speculative attacks across currencies arises solely because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471578