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We study how international trade and the exporting decisions of establishments affect establishment creation over the business cycle in a general equilibrium model. The model captures two key features of establishment and exporter dynamics: i) new establishments start small and grow over time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480156
inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467653
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has emerged is … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469142
perspective on the linkages among monetary policy, inflation, and the business cycle. It is argued that the adoption of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469948
appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but inflation dropped only when fiscal policy … accommodated this change two years later. In fact, a disinflationary attempt of the monetary authority leads to more inflation if … been confident about the switch, the Great Inflation would not have occurred and debt would have been higher. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458470
with a modest and protracted decline in inflation, following the rise in financial stress in 2008Q4. The model does so even … though inflation remains very dependent on the evolution of economic activity and of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458609
We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to … control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show … that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are related to cyclical movements in real activity and unemployment, in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
Amidst the recent resurgence of inflation, this paper investigates the interplay of corporate profits and income … distribution in shaping inflation and aggregate demand within the New Keynesian framework. We derive a novel analytical condition …-demand fluctuations and inflation to be amplified by heterogeneity, profits have to be countercyclical--an implication that is at odds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337850
This paper summarizes and assesses recent studies on the impact of current trends in trade and direct investment on employment and wages in OECD countries. The general conclusion is that such factors as changes in labour supplies, technology and demand are more important than changes in trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473856
A rent-extraction model that takes into account workers' limited information about the profitability of the company they work for is developed. In that model high wage industries have high VPL so policies to shift employment to high wage industries are appropriate and past empirical studies of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475750