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Recent supply disruptions catapulted the issue of risk in global supply chains (GSCs) to the top of policy agendas and created the impression that shortages would have been less severe if GSCs were either shorter and more domestic, or more diversified. But is this right? We start our answer by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660121
Using textual analysis of earnings conference calls, we quantify firms' supply chain risk and its sources. Our proxy for supply chain risk exhibits large cross-sectional and time-series variation that aligns with reasonable priors and is unprecedently high during the Covid-19 pandemic. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250152
We characterize what features make supply chains more resilient. Using new data on the universe of firm-to-firm transactions from an Indian state, we identify firms with larger supplier risk following the Covid-19 lockdowns. Using an event-study design we find firms with suppliers in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462737
be driven by the greater importance of financial accounting statements in Germany than the US and stricter German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472108
We build a general equilibrium production-based asset pricing model with heterogeneous firms that jointly accounts for firm-level and aggregate facts emphasized by the recent macroeconomic literature, and for important asset pricing moments. Using administrative firm-level data, we establish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388859
We study the aggregate effects of supply-chain disruptions in the post-pandemic period in a heterogeneous-firm, general equilibrium model with input-output linkages and a rich set of supply chain frictions: uncertain shipping delays, fixed order costs, and storage costs. Firms optimally hold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537743
We use the 2018-2019 U.S. trade war to examine how supply chains adjustments to a tariff cost shock affect imports and exports. Using confidential firm-trade linked data, we show that the decline in imports of tariffed goods was driven by discontinuations of U.S. buyer-foreign supplier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337835
We estimate the effects of government spending along the supply chain using disaggregated U.S. government procurement data. We first identify sectoral public spending shocks and combine them with input-output tables to measure upstream and downstream exposure through the production network. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372437
and affects the overall effectiveness of forward guidance. We find that the central banks of the U.S., the U.K., Germany …, and other major advanced economies have similar levels of credibility (albeit far from full credibility); however, Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
COVID-19 has demonstrated the challenges that policymakers, insurers, businesses, and employees face when disaster assistance programs are developed after the pandemic has already started. There is now an opportunity to design and implement effective and efficient solutions to manage the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585452