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We study corporate bond default rates using an extensive new data set spanning the 1866-2008 period. We find that the corporate bond market has repeatedly suffered clustered default events much worse than those experienced during the Great Depression. For example, during the railroad crisis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462804
do so depends on their availability of funding. Conversely, traders' funding, i.e., their capital and the margins they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465717
suggests that although bank lending to firms declines during the crisis, bond financing actually increases to make up much of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460315
growth rate of the capital stock in the presence of a defined-benefit Social Security system. If the Social Security Trust … Fund increases the share of its portfolio held in risky capital, the equilibrium equity premium falls in the following … growth rate of capital in the following period, and, if a certain sufficient condition is satisfied, will increase the growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471809
segmentation is partly overcome by global arbitrageurs with limited capital. Our model accounts for the empirically documented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172174
Researchers, using the survey conducted by Money Market Services, Inc., have found that the anticipated component in the Federal Reserve's weekly money supply announcement is negatively correlated with the post- announcement change in market yields. We prove that eliminating a (downward) bias in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476944
This paper presents a new set of empirical regularities on the link between interest rates, money supply announcements and monetary base announcements. Among the main findings reported are: (i) unexpected increases in the announced monetary base have a significantly positive effect on interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477375
A striking phenomenon of the early 1980s is the climb in real interest rates to levels unprecedented in the post-World War II period. In order to understand this phenomenon, this paper investigates the nature and timing of shifts in the real rate process to determine if the recent unusual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477402
Fluctuations of business activity in the United States clearly have their monetary and financial side, but these aspects of U.S. economic fluctuations exhibit few quantitative regularities that have persisted unchanged across spans of tine over which the nation's financial markets have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477605
This paper examines the impact of the money supply and inflation rate announcements on interest rates. Survey data on expectations of the money supply and consumer and producer price indexes are used to distinguish anticipated and unanticipated components of the announcements. This distinction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477775