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The historical returns on equity index options are well known to be strikingly negative. That is typically explained either by investors having convex marginal utility over stock returns (e.g. crash/variance aversion) or by intermediaries demanding a premium for hedging risk. This paper examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436964
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
We measure investors' short- and long-term stock-return expectations using both options and survey data. These expectations at different horizons reveal what investors think their own short-term expectations will be in the future, or forward return expectations. While contemporaneous short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372444
With the high-frequency data of firm quotes in the transaction platform of foreign exchanges, arbitrage profit … pairs--can be detected to emerge and disappear in the matter of seconds. The frequency and duration of such arbitrage … arbitrage opportunity and places orders for multiple transactions--two in negative spreads and three in triangular arbitrage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479230
introducing time-dependent parameters to fit arbitrage-free models to selected asset prices. We show, in a simple one … arbitrage-free models should be complemented by close attention to fundamentals, which might include mean reversion, multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473207
We investigate the extent to which tests of financial asset pricing models may be biased by using properties of the data to construct the test statistics. Specifically, we focus on tests using returns to portfolios of common stock where portfolios are constructed by sorting on some empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476047
is ensured by periodic funding payments from long to short. We derive explicit expressions for the no-arbitrage price of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072878
Cross-sectional forecasts of conservative and optimistic biases in analyst earnings estimates predict a stock's future returns, especially for firms that are hard to value. Trading strategies--whether based on the component of analyst bias that is correlated with major return anomalies or the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248012
We propose a new methodology to build portfolios that hedge the economic and financial risks from climate change. Our quantity-based approach exploits information on how mutual fund managers trade in response to idiosyncratic changes in their climate risk beliefs. We exploit two types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477195
We document that value-to-price, the ratio of Residual-Income-Model-based valuation to market price, subsumes the power of book-to-market ratio and many other value or quality measures in predicting stock returns. Long-short value-to-price portfolios hedge against momentum, revitalize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226164