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Estimating Gravity from the Short to the Long Run : A Simple Solution to the 'International Elasticity Puzzle'

Anderson, James E.; Yotov, Yoto - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We propose a simple and flexible reduced-form econometric approach to estimate gravity models in the short and the long run. The theoretical lens for interpreting our methods amends the canonical Lucas-Prescott adjustment formulation to allow for time-interval-varying...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477301

Housing Precarity & the COVID-19 Pandemic : Impacts of Utility Disconnection and Eviction Moratoria on Infections and Deaths Across US Counties

Jowers, Kay; Timmins, Christopher; Bhavsar, Nrupen; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

. Our analysis quantifies the impact of these various economic policies on COVID-19 infection and death rates using panel …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482612

The Augmented Synthetic Control Method

Ben-Michael, Eli; Feller, Avi; Rothstein, Jesse - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

panel data settings. The "synthetic control" is a weighted average of control units that balances the treated unit's pre …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585369

Wealth Trajectories Across Key Milestones : Longitudinal Evidence from Life-Course Transitions

Goda, Gopi Shah; Liu, Jialu - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

, disability, health shocks, retirement and widowhood using multiple decades of longitudinal panel data. We estimate both changes …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482547

Double-Robust Identification for Causal Panel Data Models

Arkhangelsky, Dmitry; Imbens, Guido - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We study identification and estimation of causal effects in settings with panel data. Traditionally researchers follow …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482582

The Price and Quantity of Interest Rate Risk

Carpenter, Jennifer N.; Lu, Fangzhou; Whitelaw, Robert F. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Studies of the dynamics of bond risk premia that do not account for the corresponding dynamics of bond risk are hard to interpret. We propose a new approach to modeling bond risk and risk premia. For each of the US and China, we reduce the government bond market to its first two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482660

Permanent and Transitory Responses to Capital Gains Taxes : Evidence from a Lifetime Exemption in Canada

Lavecchia, Adam; Tazhitdinova, Alisa - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Using panel data on a 20% random sample of Canadian taxpayers, we study behavioral responses to the cancellation of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482729

Foreign Direct Investment under Uncertainty : Evidence from a Large Panel of Countries

Jardet, Caroline; Jude, Cristina; Chinn, Menzie David - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We examine the effect of uncertainty on foreign direct investment inflows for a heterogeneous sample of advanced, emerging market and developing countries over a 25 year long (pre-Covid) sample. Using a push-pull framework, and controlling for both global and local factors, we find policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814462

Does Pain Lead to Job Loss? A Panel Study for Germany

Piper, Alan T.; Blanchflower, David G.; Bryson, Alex - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

The cross-sectional association between pain and unemployment is well-established. But the absence of panel data … the measurement of pain and model specification. We contribute to this literature using large-scale panel data from the … German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) for the period 2002 to 2018. We show that pain leads to job loss. Workers suffering pain …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533412

Visualization, Identification, and Estimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design

Freyaldenhoven, Simon; Hansen, Christian Bailey; Pérez … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Linear panel models, and the "event-study plots" that often accompany them, are popular tools for learning about policy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616618