Showing 1 - 10 of 619
Most governments are mandated to maintain their economies at full employment. We propose that the best marker of full employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of labor--both jobseeking and recruiting. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
U.S. inflation has recently surged, with inflation reaching its highest readings since the early 1980s. We examine the … drivers of this rise in inflation, focusing on supply chain disruptions, labor supply constraints, and their interaction … endogenous markups, we find that supply chain disruptions combined with a rise in the disutility of work raised inflation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287312
. The model delivers a static wage Phillips curve linking current wage inflation to current unemployment. For standard … stickiness, which features a forward-looking wage Phillips curve, linking current wage inflation to future expected wage … inflation and current unemployment. This result puts in perspective the role played by the forward-looking component of the new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477266
more effective in stimulating output in a low-inflation recession relative to a high-inflation recession. The government … spending multiplier is large when DNWR binds, but the nature of recession matters due to the opposing response of inflation. In … a demand-driven recession, inflation falls, preventing real wages from falling, leading to unemployment, while inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210053
This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447261
We develop a theory of labor markets with four features: search frictions, worker productivity shocks, wage rigidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544688
Amidst the recent resurgence of inflation, this paper investigates the interplay of corporate profits and income … distribution in shaping inflation and aggregate demand within the New Keynesian framework. We derive a novel analytical condition …-demand fluctuations and inflation to be amplified by heterogeneity, profits have to be countercyclical--an implication that is at odds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337850
marginal costs and inflation. As workers climb the job ladder, reducing slack in the employment pool, the inflation effect …, unemployment and inflation to aggregate shocks. The ratio between job-finding probabilities from job-to-job and from unemployment …, a measure of the "Acceptance rate" of job offers to employed workers, predicts negatively inflation, independently of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322853
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job-finding impacts. This finding has three implications. First, increased benefits were important for explaining aggregate spending dynamics--but not employment dynamics--during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
Labor market tightness following the height of the Covid-19 pandemic led to an unexpected compression in the US wage distribution that reflects, in part, an increase in labor market competition. Rapid relative wage growth at the bottom of the distribution reduced the college wage premium and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247930