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preference or more generally a demand shock. More recently two other explanations have been advocated: surprise changes in … investment specific technology and news about future technology growth. The aim of this paper is to provide a quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454968
are generally small, a positive technology shock tends to decrease inequality, and a shock that raises the inequality of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533402
An impulse response is the dynamic average effect of an intervention across horizons. We use the well-known Kitagawa-Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition to explore a response's heterogeneity over time and over states of the economy. This can be implemented with a simple extension to the usual local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226168
We study the impact of techies--engineers and other technically trained workers--on firm-level productivity. We first … structural econometric methods, we estimate the causal effect of techies on firm-level Hicks-neutral productivity in both … manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries. We find that techies raise firm-level productivity, and this effect goes beyond the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322729
We investigate the source, magnitude, and unevenness of the procyclical forces that shape labor force participation, i.e., the participation cycle, which are important for the implementation of the maximum employment mandate. We show that these forces can be analyzed in real time using a flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629442
aggregate levels: cheap credit predicts future increases in spreads, low bond returns, and investment drops. Second, it produces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482632
variables may be fractionally integrated and the predictive relation may feature cointegration, we provide sup-Wald break tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496124
We propose an approach to measuring the state of the economy via textual analysis of business news. From the full text of 800,000 Wall Street Journal articles for 1984-2017, we estimate a topic model that summarizes business news into interpretable topical themes and quantifies the proportion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660022
We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
the shock compared to countries which did not have such pre-emptive policies in place. We use the episodes of Taper … fixed effects where preemptive policies are ex-ante by construction and cannot be put in place as a response to the shock ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794642