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This paper concerns the prescriptive function of decision analysis. I suppose that an agent must choose an action yielding welfare that varies with the state of nature. The agent has a welfare function and beliefs, but he does not know the actual state of nature. It is often argued that such an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464251
In this paper, we ask how bankruptcy law affects the financial decisions of corporations and its implications for firm dynamics. According to current U.S. law, firms have two bankruptcy options: Chapter 7 liquidation and Chapter 11 reorganization. Using Compustat data, we first document capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455167
We examine aggregate productivity differences across nations using cross-country firm-level data and a quantitative model of production heterogeneity with distortions featuring operation decisions (selection) and productivity-enhancing investments (technology). Empirically, less developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635713
Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
This paper explores a macroeconomic model of the business cycle in which stickiness of information is pervasive. We … start from a familiar benchmark classical model and add to it the assumption that there is sticky information on the part of … stickiness is required to fit the facts. We conclude that models based on stickiness of information offer the promise of fitting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466645
We study the propagation of nominal shocks in a dispersed information economy where firms learn from and respond to … information generated by their activities in product and factor markets. We prove the existence of a "Hayekian benchmark", defined … by conditions under which imperfect information has no effect on equilibrium outcomes. This occurs under fairly general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145165
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000553770
where agents strategically acquire information about factor productivity under time and effort constraints. Conditional on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372431
We develop interpretable, quantitative indices of the objective and subjective complexity of lottery choice problems that can be computed for any standard dataset. These indices capture the predicted error rate in identifying the lottery with the highest expected value, where the predictions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372434
This paper presents some of the first large-scale survey evidence linking optimism to major economic choices. We create a novel measure of optimism using the Survey of Consumer Finance by comparing a person's self-reported life expectancy to that implied by statistical tables. Optimists are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467322