Showing 1 - 10 of 2,321
We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463753
-sample estimation. In contrast to Orphanides (2002, 2003), I find that the Fed's response to the real-time forecast of inflation was … (2000). However, the response to inflation was strong before 1973 and gradually regained strength from the early 1980's …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467369
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456944
This paper conducts counterfactual historical analysis of several monetary policy rules by contrasting actual settings of instrument variables with values that would have been specified by the rules in response to prevailing conditions. Of particular interest is whether major policy mistakes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471025
This paper examines the operation of the gold standard and the performance of the Bank of England during the crisis of 1847. The key feature of that crisis has been its origin: it originated from a massive real shock rather than from monetary disorder. A harvest failure gave rise to commercial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478066
Under uncovered interest parity (UIP), the size of the effect on the real exchange rate of an anticipated change in real interest rate differentials is invariant to the horizon at which the change is expected. Empirical evidence using US, euro area and UK data points to a substantial deviation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479321
This paper uses high-frequency financial data to analyze the effects of US monetary policy--during the conventional and unconventional policy regimes--on international bonds markets. We focus on yields of dollar-denominated sovereign bonds issued by more than 90 countries since the early 1990s,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479961
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480685
We provide new evidence on how monetary policy affects investment and firm finance in the United States and the United Kingdom. Younger firms paying no dividends exhibit the largest and most significant change in capital expenditure - even after conditioning on size, asset growth, Tobin's Q,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481014
easing (QE). We find that central bank papers report larger effects of QE on output and inflation. Central bankers are also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481153