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an explicit role for unemployment and for household debt. We find that the model is capable of explaining several …This paper examines the relationship between household balance sheets, consumer purchases, and expectations. We find … few robust empirical relationships between balance sheet measures and spending, but we do find that unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472733
expectations. Extrapolative income expectations help explain state-dependent household debt cycles qualitatively and quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635678
The goal of this chapter is to study how, and by how much, household income, wealth, and preference heterogeneity …, using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we document the patterns of household income, consumption and wealth …. Motivated by this evidence, we study several variants of a standard heterogeneous household model with aggregate shocks and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456356
between expectations of future job losses and the subsequent impact that these expectations have on household consumption … important impact on household consumption smoothing following a job loss. The second part of the paper finds that although a job … loss significantly reduces household consumption, there is little evidence that the degree to which households anticipate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469195
luxury goods. Moreover, uncertainty reduces household propensity to invest in mutual funds. These results support the notion … that macroeconomic uncertainty can impact household decisions and have large negative effects on economic outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179
We use a new Canadian household survey to examine how inflation uncertainty influences inflation expectations and … inflation expectations and uncertainty reduce household spending on goods. Communicating inflation statistics with ranges …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072881
unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for sunspot-driven volatility depends on the level of household wealth. When …Periods of low household wealth in United States macroeconomic history have also been periods of high business cycle … wealth is high, consumer demand is largely insensitive to unemployment expectations and the economy is robust to confidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457673
We investigate the stochastic relation between income and consumption (specifically, consumption of food) within a panel of about 2,000 households. Our major findings are: 1. Consumption responds much more strongly to permanent than to transitory movements of income. 2. The response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478631
When the zero lower bound on nominal interest rate binds, monetary policy makers may lack traditional tools to stimulate aggregate demand. We investigate whether "unconventional" fiscal policy, in the form of pre-announced consumption tax changes, has the potential to meaningfully shift durables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480864
varied dramatically across regions. House prices, consumption and unemployment remain below pre-crisis levels in about half …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481050