demonstrate that both features deviate from what theory would predict, yet are characteristic of many transactions, not simply …

shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … cycle model. The paper establishes two simple theoretical results: first, when the probability of disaster is constant, the … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic …

with natural hazards, such as hurricanes and earthquakes. Risk management theory suggests protection by insurers and other …, especially after cat events. We then examine clinical evidence to understand why the theory fails. Specifically, we examine … hints as to why the theory fails. We explore these hints in eight theoretical explanations and find the most compelling to …

down, are the proportionate effect of environmental investment on the probability of environmental disaster and the … baseline probability of environmental disaster …