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We define the notion of a 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the tax-years it would take to repay the public debt. Specifically, we measure the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462118
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462178
The global financial crisis has permanently lowered the path of GDP in all advanced economies. At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of these countries have been engaging in fiscal consolidations that have had a negative impact on growth rates. We empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456303
) Globally, fiscal policy helped offset about 8% of the downturn in COVID, with a low 'traditional' fiscal multiplier. Yet it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629513
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the "Renaissance" in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479486
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and …We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely … determined in our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479524
The fiscal "multiplier" measures how many additional dollars of output are gained or lost for each dollar of fiscal … stimulus or contraction. In practice, the multiplier at any point in time depends on the monetary policy response and existing …, we show how to quantify the importance of these monetary-fiscal interactions. In the data, the fiscal multiplier varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481896
We use an analytically tractable heterogeneous-agent (HANK) version of the standard New Keynesian model to show how the size of fiscal multipliers depends on i) the distribution of factor incomes, and ii) the source of nominal rigidities. With sticky prices but flexible wages, the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482584
effects from these partisan differences. First, the transfer multiplier would rise by 0.60 if Republican governors were to … imply variation in the fiscal multiplier of 0.40. Local projection regressions support this prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482641
that year. As a result our preferred government spending multiplier is 1.80 when the time period ends in 1941:Q2 but only 0 ….88 when the time period ends in supply-constrained 1941:Q4. Only the 1.80 multiplier is relevant to situations like 2009 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462276