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An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading
Lo, Andrew W. - 1989
We develop a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring. In addition to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476088
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Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?
Stock, James H. - 2006
Forecasts of the rate of price inflation play a central role in the formulation of monetary policy, and forecasting inflation is a key job for economists at the Federal Reserve Board. This paper examines whether this job has become harder and, to the extent that it has, what changes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466341
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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Potential Pitfalls for the Purchasing-Power-Parity Puzzle? Sampling and Specification Biases in Mean-Reversion Tests of the Law of One Price
Taylor, Alan M. - 2000
testing for PPP or LOOP, model specification and data sampling should not proceed without consideration of the actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471192
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Tables of Sample Size For the F-Test in One Way Analysis of Variance Designs
Hill, Richard W. - 1975
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479048
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Taking the Cochrane-Piazzesi Term Structure Model Out of Sample : More Data, Additional Currencies, and FX Implications
Hodrick, Robert J. - 2018
We examine the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005, 2008) model in several out-of-sample analyzes. The model's one-factor forecasting structure characterizes the term structures of additional currencies in samples ending in 2003. In post-2003 data one-factor structures again characterize each currency's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480743
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Non-Randomly Sampled Networks : Biases and Corrections
Hsieh, Chih-Sheng - 2018
first characterize the biases in both network statistics and estimates of network effects under non-random sampling …-classical measurement-error problems when applied as regressors. Apart from the sampling rate and the elicitation procedure, these biases … applied to network data collected via both designed and non-designed sampling procedures, does not require one to assume any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480921
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Information Costs and Sequential Information Sampling
Hébert, Benjamin - 2018
We propose a new approach to modeling the cost of information structures in rational inattention problems, the "neighborhood-based" cost functions. These cost functions have two properties that we view as desirable: they summarize the results of a sequential evidence accumulation problem, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480967
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Inflation and the Distribution of Price Changes
Bryan, Michael F. - 1996
its higher order moments, and in particular, its third moment the skewness of the price change distribution. Evidence on correlations between inflation and its moments goesback over thirty years, and was first used to reject the independence of relative price changes and inflation that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473040
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The Effect of Age at School Entry on Educational Attainment : An Application of Instrumental Variables with Moments from Two Samples
Angrist, Joshua D. - 1990
This paper tests the hypothesis that compulsory school attendance laws, which typically require school attendance until a specified birthday, induce a relationship between the years of schooling and age at school entry. Variation in school start age created by children's date of birth provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475476