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We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovements and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … stock and bond return correlations, but that other factors, especially liquidity proxies, play a more important role. The … macro factors are still important in fitting bond return volatility; whereas the "variance premium" is critical in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463390
explanation for this puzzle is based on prospect theory. Despite its prominence, this explanation has received little formal … scrutiny. We take up this task, and analyze the trading behavior of investors with prospect theory preferences. We find that …, at least for the simplest implementation of prospect theory, the link between these preferences and the disposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466268
From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as illustrated by much recent research, a joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467596
This paper develops an affine model of the term structure of interest rates in which bond yields are driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457093
foreign real bonds. Bonds matter: in equilibrium, investors structure their bond portfolio to hedge real exchange rate risk … since relative bond returns are strongly correlated with real exchange rate movements. Equity home bias does not arise from … against other sources of risk, conditionally on bond returns. We estimate the optimal equity and bond portfolios implied by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461098
Using a panel of international government bond data, I construct fixed income portfolios that match the duration of the … dividend strips of the corresponding local aggregate stock market index. I find that these bond portfolios have performed as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481562
and Titman (1993). We test one such theory--based on the gradual-information-diffusion model of Hong and Stein (1997)--and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472255
This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475884
timing skills. In contrast, while a normative theory of stock selection was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477114