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world rate of interest(intertemporal terms of trade effects) and, for rigid wages, changes in employment. Thus Industria … gains from the intertemporal terms of trade effect if it is a net borrower and the world rate of interest falls. Precise … conditions for whether the world rate of interest falls or rises are given.We also show that Industria may gain from subsidizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478029
post-World-War-II oil shocks reviewed include the Suez Crisis of 1956-57, the OPEC oil embargo of 1973-1974, the Iranian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461867
understanding world oil markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462043
This paper examines the factors responsible for changes in crude oil prices. The paper reviews the statistical behavior of oil prices, relates these to the predictions of theory, and looks in detail at key features of petroleum demand and supply. Topics discussed include the role of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464155
the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility of oil prices. Our model predicts a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455258
point in the history of the world's use of this key energy source. In this article I review five of the ways in which the … world of energy may have changed forever …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458312
We study the performance of many traditional and novel, text-based variables for in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting of oil spot, futures, and energy company stock returns, and changes in oil volatility, production, and inventories. After controlling for small-sample biases, we find evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660057
For oil importers, differences in economic performance after the 1973-74 oil price increase and after the 1979-80 increase can be attributed to a number of factors, including the fact that the 1973-74 oil price increase was unexpected whereas the 1979-80 increase was largely expected. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478107
This paper explores the connections between the shift of world saving toward OPEC and the changing structure of U … become more interdependent through trade with the newly industrializing countries (NICs) in the developing world. The shift … of world saving toward OPEC in the 1970s effectively internationalized the supply of saving, as OPEC places its surplus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478322
appreciation and a decline in domestic manufacturing output. Perhaps surprisingly, an increase in world oil prices can create …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478533