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Using 14,800 forecasts of one-year S&P 500 returns made by Chief Financial Officers over a 12-year period, we track the individual executives who provide multiple forecasts to study how their beliefs evolve dynamically. While CFOs' return forecasts are systematically unbiased, their confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482230
Miscalibration is a standard measure of overconfidence in both psychology and economics. Although it is often used in lab experiments, there is scarcity of evidence about its effects in practice. We test whether top corporate executives are miscalibrated, and whether their miscalibration impacts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464935
economically significant predictor of whether a hospital replaces its management with a new team of for-profit managers. We also … find that hospitals replacing their management subsequently upcode more than a sample of similar hospitals that did not, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466226
profit-deviating preferences from the state-defined regulatory status of nonprofit production. We argue that this separation … is crucial in providing predictions about the underlying forces which allow the coexistence of nonprofit and for-profit … separating choice of nonprofit status from profit-deviating preferences, the paper provides predictions about the forces which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472441
What makes a good leader? A good leader is able to coordinate his followers around a credible mission statement, which communicates the future course of action of the organization. In practice, leaders learn about the best course of action for the organization over time. While learning helps...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464309
Models of corporate behavior normally assume that a firm acts in the interest of shareholders, and that shareholders care only about the returns they receive on the shares they own in that firm. But shareholders should also care about the effects of a manager's decisions on the value of shares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475732
Do not-for-profit hospitals provide better care than for-profit hospitals? We compare patient outcomes in for-profit … and not-for-profit hospitals between 1984 and 1994 using a new method for estimating differences across hospitals that … yields far more accurate estimates of hospital quality than previously available. We find that, on average, for-profit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471460
potential loss of profit. By enabling firms to retain only a very small fraction of these potential revenues, the government can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471113
This paper examines the impact of capital gains taxes on equity pricing. Examining three-day cumulative abnormal returns for quarterly earning announcements from 1983-1997, we present evidence consistent with shareholders' capital gains taxes affecting stock price responses. To our knowledge,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471123
Why are higher quality niches seen as intrinsically more profitable in business circles? Why do high quality products sometimes have a low real price, while it is unusual to see low quality products with high real prices? Can markets have quality differentiation as well as quality bunching? In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471282