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Macroeconomic dynamics are shaped by how individual incentives to spend and accumulate interact with the decisions of others. The goal of this paper is to identify--within a simple large-game-theoretic structure--which types of agent interactions favor which types of dynamic equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635624
Explanations of procyclical productivity play a key role in a variety of business-cycle models. Most of these models, however, explain this procyclicality within a representative-firm paradigm. This procedure is misleading. We decompose aggregate productivity changes into several terms, each of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473485
from VAR estimates. The extent of this "missing persistence bias" decreases with the level of aggregation, yet convergence … persistence measures that vary systematically with levels of aggregation should be examined with care since the differential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468799
indicate that aggregation can introduce substantial upward biases in the insurance effects. Overall we find a statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468871
Despite the clear success of forecast combination in many economic environments, several important issues remain incompletely resolved. The issues relate to selection of the set of forecasts to combine, and whether some form of additional regularization (e.g., shrinkage) is desirable. Against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480620
Wages, labor market participation, hours worked, and savings differ by gender and marital status. In addition, women and married people make up for a large fraction of the population and of labor market participants, total hours worked, and total earnings. For the most part, macroeconomists have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455863
We study the information aggregation properties of unanimous voting rules in the laboratory. In line with theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456730
We estimate labour supply elasticities at the micro level and show what we can learn from possibly very heterogeneous elasticities for aggregate behaviour. We consider both intertemporal and intratemporal choices, and identify intensive and extensive responses in a consistent life-cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457352
us to estimate models with recursive preferences, latent state variables, and time-aggregated data. Time-aggregation … makes the decision interval of the agent an important parameter to estimate. We find that time-aggregation can significantly … affect parameter estimates and statistical inference. Imposing the pricing restrictions and explicitly accounting for time-aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460356
asset markets and indivisible labor supply. Imperfect aggregation manifests itself through preference shocks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462255