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We identify a shock that explains the bulk of fluctuations in equity risk premia, and show that the shock also explains … contract workers. A real model with labor market frictions and fluctuations in risk appetite can explain all of these facts …, both qualitatively and quantitatively. The size of risk-driven fluctuations depends on the relationship between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510571
We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479292
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480637
We inject aggregate uncertainty - risk and ambiguity - into an otherwise standard business cycle model and describe its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458347
We develop a theory of endogenous uncertainty and business cycles in which short-lived shocks can generate long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458691
Can increased uncertainty about the future cause a contraction in output and its components? An identified uncertainty shock in the data causes significant declines in output, consumption, investment, and hours worked. Standard general-equilibrium models with flexible prices cannot reproduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460240
Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461507
Empirical work testing for a negative tradeoff between risk and incentives, a cornerstone of agency theory, has not had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470935
's systematic equity risk and falls with the firm's unsystematic equity risk. Further, an increase in the firm's total equity risk … is associated with a fall in q. The negative relation between the change in total risk and the change in q is robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470942
implications of risky behaviors by youths. I begin by reviewing perspectives on youth risk-taking from traditional rational … risk-taking by youths, and how this compares to adults. I review the evidence on youth risk taking from the studies in this … risk taking by youths, (b) despite this, these factors are not very successful in predicting the dramatic time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470969