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Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae … different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of … how accurately the CPI informs us about "true" inflation. We use the largest price and quantity dataset ever employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459159
If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the … target, the long-run Phillips curve becomes non-vertical. During 1997-2011, average inflation expectations in Sweden have … been close to the inflation target of 2 percent, whereas average inflation has fallen short of the target by 0.6 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459220
ideas. The coroner's evidence consists of the small standard deviation of the core inflation rate in the past two decades … despite substantial volatility of the unemployment rate, and in particular the common tendency of PC inflation equations to … predict ever greater amounts of negative inflation (i.e., deflation) over the years of labor-market slack since 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459271
stimulus mostly generates inflation rather than output growth. To do this, I construct price-setting models with "volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459514
inflation erode the real value of its nominal price until it reaches some point s. Then, the seller pays the menu cost and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459567
-pricing theory, is calibrated to analyze the effects of monetary policy and financial innovation. We show that inflation can raise … output, employment and investment, plus improve housing and stock markets. For the baseline calibration, optimal inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459653
industries. Meanwhile governments responded with unprecedented stimulus packages, and inflation increased to its highest values … in 40 years. In this paper I investigate the contribution of aggregate monetary and fiscal policies to inflation … heterogeneous supply curves, industry-specific shocks to inelastically supplied goods increase aggregate inflation through a cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512048
-profiteering measures on food necessities during a period of high inflation in Argentina. Using barcode-level data across more than 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512095
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748