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disturbances - an increase in risk, and a slowing of productivity growth - each of which might rationalize a simultaneous drop in … increase in risk depresses the return on riskless bonds. When all of the wealth of the economy is traded in the stock market …, equity values fall with increasing equity risk only if the intertemporal elasticity of substitution in consumption exceeds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477022
foreign real bonds. Bonds matter: in equilibrium, investors structure their bond portfolio to hedge real exchange rate risk … against other sources of risk, conditionally on bond returns. We estimate the optimal equity and bond portfolios implied by … share of the equity home bias and obtain a currency exposure of bond portfolios comparable to the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461098
international macroeconomic risk sharing than is possible today. Retail institutions are described that might develop around such … markets and help the public with their risk management. However, the establishment of such markets would also incur the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474555
coexistence of positive bond risk premiums and the negative stock-bond return correlation. We show that two distinctive shocks … positive bond risk premiums are driven by the same technology shock … stylized facts: (1) the positive stock-bond return correlation from 1971 to 2000 and the negative one after 2000, (2) the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481165
We propose an approach to identifying economic shocks (monetary, growth, and risk-premium news) from stock returns and … risk-premium shocks--time-varying compensation for discount-rate and cash-flow news--which have distinct effects on stocks … and bonds. Since the mid-1990s, the Fed-induced reductions in both risk premium sources have generated high average stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482403
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovements and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We …, inflation, the output gap, and cash flow growth. We also view risk aversion, uncertainty about inflation and output, and … stock and bond return correlations, but that other factors, especially liquidity proxies, play a more important role. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463390
when the investor has access to nominal bonds and a stock portfolio. In the presence of unhedgeable inflation risk, there … exist multiple pricing kernels that produce the same bond prices, but a unique pricing kernel equal to the marginal utility … of the investor. We apply our method to a three-factor Gaussian model with a time-varying price of risk that captures the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468608
Household investors chase stock market returns. Surveys suggest that households intend to "ride the bubble" by buying stocks early in a boom and selling stocks early in a bust. This implies that households use only liquid assets to chase returns. I test this prediction using inflows to fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458307
of taxable interest income to basis. To deal with the risk aspect of the problem (lock-in and cherry picking) requires …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473080
endowment risk, the size of such clienteles determines whether the portfolio for a liquidity trader consists of a clientele …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475296