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There is a lot we know about climate change, but there is also a lot we don't know. Even if we knew how much CO2 will be emitted over the coming decades, we wouldn't know how much temperatures will rise as a result. And even if we could predict the extent of warming that will occur, we can say...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481498
maximizes the utility of the representative agent at that time. We embed a number of features including tail risk, the potential …-impact outcomes, our calibration allows us to decompose the SCC into the expected damages and the risk-premium. In contrast to most … only a small risk premium, the deadweight loss in utility associated with delaying the implementation of optimal pricing by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455885
.S transit agencies with transit agencies in Germany and the United Kingdom. We study U.S urban public sector energy efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190994
In this paper, we empirically assess the causal links between trade and individual income risk and study the role that … human capital plays in this relationship using a rich, worker-level, longitudinal data set from Germany spanning 1976 to … 2012. Our estimates suggest substantial heterogeneity in labor income risk across workers in different entry cohorts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794639
. In the process we integrate a Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) restriction on overall plan costs into the pension manager …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464316
In 1997 Chancellor Kohl proposed a major pension reform and pushed the law through Parliament explaining that the German PAYG system had become unsustainable. One limitation of the new law -- one that is crucial for our identification strategy -- is that it left the generous pension entitlements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464736
risk. This study develops the concept of "political risk" as the possibility that some future legislature will be forced to … and macroeconomic variables that support it. Thus there is a "political risk" to participants that might be compared to … the "market risk" in a personal accounts retirement scheme. In this paper, we carry out a detailed quantitative analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466520
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived by households affects their spending decisions. We use randomized information treatments that provide different types of information about the first and/or second moments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179
Are fluctuations in firms' profitability risk a major cause of regular business cycles? We study this question within … such a model, surprise increases of risk lead to a wait-and-see policy for investment at the firm level and a decrease in … the size of firm-level risk fluctuations. We find that time-varying firm-level risk on its own is unlikely to be a major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461796
Farmers have higher rates of disability and illness than the general population and more volatile incomes due to frequent crop and livestock losses from extreme weather events. This raises concerns that sudden, weather-related drops in farm income could reduce access to health care for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190992