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Empirical evidence shows that changes in aggregate labor income and stock market returns exhibit only weak correlation at short horizons. As we document below, however, this correlation increases substantially at longer horizons, which provides at least suggestive evidence that stock returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467438
When equity prices are determined as the discounted sum of current and expected future dividends, Shiller (1981) and LeRoy and Porter (1981) derived a relationship between the variance of the price of equities, p(t), and the variance of the ex post realized discounted sum of current and future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467707
Arguments for eliminating the double taxation of dividends apply only to dividends paid by corporations to individuals. The double (and multiple) taxation of dividends paid by one firm to another intercorporate dividends - was explicitly included in the 1930s to eliminate pyramidal corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469047
We develop a theory in which the decision to pay dividends is driven by investor demand. Managers cater to investors by … this prediction, we construct four time series measures of the investor demand for dividend payers. By each measure … analysis confirms that the results are better explained by the catering theory than other theories of dividends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469158
infer beliefs from prices. The model fits well the moments of the market return, risk free rate, and price-dividend ratio …. Consistent with the data, it implies higher mean and lower volatility of consumption and dividend growth rates, lower mean and … volatility of the market return and equity premium, and higher mean of the price-dividend ratio in the first regime compared with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457988
the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458014
unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price-dividend … ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458555
. This way, one bank's dividend payout policy affects the equity value and risk of default of other banks. When such negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458955
Many leading asset pricing models predict that the term structures of expected returns and volatilities on dividend … these models replace their exogenously specified dividend dynamics with processes that are derived endogenously from capital …) when leverage is low (high), which shifts risk from long-horizon to short-horizon dividend strips. This framework also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460210
We outline a dividend signaling approach in which rational managers signal firm strength to investors who are loss … of the same level next period. The model is consistent with several features of the data, including equilibrium dividend … policies similar to a Lintner partial-adjustment model; modal dividend changes of zero; stronger market reactions to dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460418