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that the fraction of unpriced risk in these assets is at least 85%. Extant explanations of carry strategies based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482479
a sticky-price alternative to Lucas's (1982) exchage rate risk premium model. We show that the level risk premium' in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472119
This paper examines the determination of risk premiums in foreign exchange markets. The statistical model is based on a … heteroskedasticity. We find that there is evidence for heteroskedasticity and that the conditional expectation of the risk premium is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477919
Survey data on exchange rate expectations are used to divide the forward discount into expected depreciation and a risk … the spot rate. We use the surveys to decompose the bias into a protion attributable to the risk premium and a portion … forward discount do not yield insights into the sign, size or variability of the risk premium as is usually thought.We test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477109
Fama(1984) analyzed the variability and the covariation of risk premiums and expected rates of depreciation. We employ … model of the risk premium. Increases in expected rates of depreciation of the dollar relative to five foreign currencies are … positively correlated with increases in the expected profitability of purchasing these currencies in the forward market, and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477330
stochastic disturbances. Much risk averse speculation stabilizes domestic income against disturbances in the domestic bond market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477963
This paper tests the hypothesis that traders have rational expeatations and charge no risk premium in the forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478268
, we provide a general explanation of this turbulence in terms of the modern "asset market theory" to exchange …-rate determination. This theory emphasizes that exchange rates, like the prices of other assets determined in organized markets, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478661
This paper provides an empirical examination of the hypothesis that the forward exchange rate provides an "optimal" forecast of the future spot ex-change rate, for five currencies relative to the dollar. This hypothesis provides a convenient norm for examining the erratic behavior of exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478706
. The paper proposes an equilibrium theory of the term structure of the forward premium. By combining the theory of the term … expression for the expected one month forward premium. The theory will then impose highly non-linear cross equation restrictions … indicate that the data are consistent with the theory for Germany and inconsistent with the theory for Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478719