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We present an alternative expectation formation mechanism that helps rationalize well known asset pricing anomalies, such as the predictability of excess returns, excess volatility, and the equity-premium puzzle. As with rational expectations (RE), the expectation formation mechanism we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470997
The recently developed long-run risks asset pricing model shows that concerns about long-run expected growth and time-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can account for the risk premia and asset price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465457
The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465547
The mean, co-variability, and predictability of the return of different classes of financial assets challenge the rational economic model for an explanation. The unconditional mean aggregate equity premium is almost seven percent per year and remains high after adjusting downwards the sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469889
return effects. The paper also shows how asset pricing theory restricts the expected excess return components of betas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474630
correlated, contrary to what theory suggests - for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453372
Short-rebate fees are a strong predictor of the cross-section of stock returns, both gross and net of fees. We document a large "shorting premium": the cheap-minus-expensive-to-short (CME) portfolio of stocks has a monthly average gross return of 1.43%, a net return of 0.91%, and a 1.53%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458384
We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are persistent and are strongly correlated with discount-rate news....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460556
credit derivative spreads of Japanese banks. Although the Japan premium in the euro-dollar market seemed to have virtually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469110
particularly acute for markets where traders rely heavily on a specific empirical model such as in derivative markets. Asset … intermediary makes a market for a propriety derivative security. The market-maker chooses bid and ask prices for the derivative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470032