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This paper explores the connections between the shift of world saving toward OPEC and the changing structure of U.S. trade with the non-oil developing countries. The basic point of the paper is that during the 1970s the U.S. economy has become more interdependent through trade with the newly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478322
This paper estimates the extent to which market power is a source of production misallocation. Productive inefficiency occurs through more production being allocated to higher-cost units of production, and less production to lower-cost production units, conditional on a fixed aggregate quantity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453910
We use a new micro data set to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model of the oil industry. This effort is a first step towards studying the importance of ongoing structural changes in the oil market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455258
This year the oil industry celebrated its 155th birthday, continuing a rich history of booms, busts and dramatic technological changes. Many old hands in the oil patch may view recent developments as a continuation of the same old story, wondering if the high prices of the last decade will prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458312
variables also significantly reduce inflation in both the short and long run. Given the actual changes in these factors in the … inflation in the latter half of the last decade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470933
currently available in the United States offer fixed nominal payouts, rather than an inflation-linked payout stream. After … U.S. private annuity markets provide retirees with inflation-protected retirement income flows. Although there is … effectively no market yet for inflation-indexed annuities in the United States, such products are available in other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470938
We explore a hypothesis about the take-off in inflation that occurred in the early 1970s. According to the expectations … trap hypothesis, the Fed was pushed into producing the high inflation out of a fear of violating the public's inflation … expectations. We compare this hypothesis with the Phillips curve hypothesis, according to which the Fed produced the high inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470941
uncertainty over the period 1970 to 1995. We construct measures of inflation uncertainty as well as aggregate nominal and real … uncertainty. The results not only corroborate previous findings of an inverse relationship between contract duration and inflation … of this relationship to the various measures of inflation uncertainty that have appeared in the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471019
contributed to financial instability during 1790-1933, and that inflation rate shocks contributed to financial instability during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471115
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of arginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471224