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in pre-rational expectations macroeconomic theory. Here we show that electoral cycles in taxes, government spending and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477238
This paper surveys the recent literature on the theory of macroeconomic policy. We study the effect of various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472486
The post-war United States exhibits two rather strong politico-economic regularities. The political regularity is that the party of the President has always lost votes in aid-term Congressional elections, relative to its Congressional vote in the previous elections; the economic regularity is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476355
Politicians have generally two motives: they wish to hold office as long as possible and wish to implement their preferred policies. Thus they face a trade-off between the policies which maximize their choices of reelection and their most preferred policies (or the policies most preferred by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476599
Prior to elections, governments (at all levels) frequently undertake a consumption binge. Taxes are cut, transfers are raised, and government spending is distorted towards highly visible items. The "political business cycle" (better be thought of as "the political budget cycle") has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476639
We investigate how criminal organizations strategically use violence to influence elections in order to get captured politicians elected. The model offers novel testable implications about the use of pre-electoral violence under different types of electoral systems and different degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456581
We develop a theoretical framework in which political and economic cycles are jointly determined. These cycles are driven by three political economy frictions: policymakers are non-benevolent, they cannot commit to policies, and they have private information about the tightness of the government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460305
I show that the indivisible labor' models of Diamond and Mirrlees (1978, 1986), Hansen (1985), Rogerson (1988), Christiano and Eichenbaum (1992), and many others are, when aggregated across persons with the same marginal utility of income, equivalent to the divisible labor model of Lucas and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471678
Both the literature and new empirical evidence show that exchange rate regimes differ primarily by the noisiness of the exchange rate, not be measurable macroeconomic fundamentals. This motivates a theoretical analysis of exchange rate regimes with noise traders. The presence of noise traders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471695
This paper examines what industrial organization economists know and don't know about how markets clear. It reviews the empirical evidence which shows that, at least for some industries, price behavior is peculiar with prices failing to adjust over long periods of time. The paper discusses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476892