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Monetary DSGE models are widely used because they fit the data well and they can be used to address important monetary policy questions. We provide a selective review of these developments. Policy analysis with DSGE models requires using data to assign numerical values to model parameters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462581
This chapter provides a comprehensive overview of decomposition methods that have been developed since the seminal work of Oaxaca and Blinder in the early 1970s. These methods are used to decompose the difference in a distributional statistic between two groups, or its change over time, into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462607
randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to accumulate credible knowledge of what works, without over-reliance on questionable theory …-randomization, notwithstanding rhetoric to the contrary. I argue that experiments have no special ability to produce more credible knowledge than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463957
Macroeconomists have largely converged on method, model design, reduced-form shocks, and principles of policy advice. Our main disagreements today are about implementing the methodology. Some think New Keynesian models are ready to be used for quarter-to-quarter quantitative policy advice; we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464338
I explore the equilibrium value implications of economic models that incorporate reactions to a stochastic environment. I propose a dynamic value decomposition (DVD) designed to distinguish components of an underlying economic model that influence values over long horizons from components that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464404
This paper reviews the progress that the science of monetary policy has made over recent decades. This progress has significantly expanded the degree to which the practice of monetary policy reflects the application of a core set of "scientific principles". However, there remains, and will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465081
The purpose of this article is to demonstrate how a rich array of methods can be applied to increase the relevance of field experiments in public economics. Two cross-cutting themes are important in multiple phases of the research. First, greater statistical sophistication can draw more value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465725
This article takes a critical look at the literature on equity premium puzzle - the inability of standard intertemporal economic models to rationalize the statistics that have characterized U.S. financial markets over the past century. A summary of historical returns for the United States and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469177
explaining short-run fluctuations in GNP. Theory and the empirical evidence suggest that the existence of intellectual property …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473051
A number of recent papers have examined the role of environmental variables in accounting for economic growth, and have concluded that net measures of national product are superior to gross measures in portraying the outcome of the growth process. This paper argues that the two measures are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475012