Showing 1 - 10 of 9,175
In this paper, we assess the degree to which four of the most commonly used models of risky decision making can explain … enough to approximate Kahnenman and Tversky's prospect theory and that for certain parametric values will yield the expected … explain the decision-making behavior of the majority of our subjects. Surprisingly, we find that the choice behavior of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476344
In its attempt to model financial markets and the behavior of firms, modern finance theory starts from a set of … normatively appealing axioms about individual behavior. Specifically, people are said to be risk-averse expected utility … paradigm may be criticized, however, because (1) the assumptions are descriptively false and incomplete, and (2) the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474142
reports on direct measures of preference parameters relating to risk tolerance, time preference, and intertemporal … of preference parameters display substantial heterogeneity. The majority of respondents fall into the least risk …-tolerant group, but a substantial minority display higher risk tolerance. The individual measures of intertemporal substitution and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473664
implications of risky behaviors by youths. I begin by reviewing perspectives on youth risk-taking from traditional rational … risk-taking by youths, and how this compares to adults. I review the evidence on youth risk taking from the studies in this … risk taking by youths, (b) despite this, these factors are not very successful in predicting the dramatic time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470969
We propose a model of optimal decision making subject to a memory constraint. The constraint is a limit on the … complexity of memory measured using Shannon's mutual information, as in models of rational inattention; but our theory differs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479434
We explore Tinbergen's fundamental insight that policymakers need at least as many policy instruments as targets. We extend this idea using a large natural field experiment in water resource management. We use social comparisons and loss-framed messages to help achieve two goals of our partner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455794
It takes a woman and a man to make a baby. This fact suggests that for a birth to take place, the parents should first agree on wanting a child. Using newly available data on fertility preferences and outcomes, we show that indeed, babies are likely to arrive only if both parents desire one, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456602
In this paper we rethink the NAIRU concept and examine whether it might have a useful role in monetary policy. We argue that it can, but success depends critically on defining NAIRU as a short-run concept and distinguishing it from a long-run concept like the natural rate of unemployment. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470871
Is there a trade-off between fluctuations and growth? The empirical evidence is mixed, with some studies (Kormendi and Meguire (1985)) finding a positive relationship, while others (Ramey and Ramey (1995)) finding the a negative one. Our objective in this paper is to understand how fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471733
Swiss franc assets, together with the US stock market. The model is estimated constraining risk premia to depend on the time … variances cannot explain the observed time-variation of risk premia. Furthermore, the constraints imposed by the static CAPH are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476490