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. Third, and most importantly, we present new evidence on the time paths of economic growth, physical capital investment and … liberalization has, on average, robust positive effects on growth, openness and investment rates within countries. We illustrate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468542
In the presence of economies of scale in the investment technology, trade openness may have non-conventional effects on … the level of investment, its cyclical behavior, and the volatility of the terms of trade. Trade openness may lead to boom …-bust cycles of investment supported by self-fulfilling expectations. The economy may oscillate between 'optimistic' expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469374
In the presence of lumpy investment cost of adjustment, globalization may have non-conventional effects on the level of … investment and its cyclical behavior. Trade openness may lead to a discrete 'jump' in the level of investment, as it may trigger … a discrete change in the terms of trade. Such a shift creates a sizeable boost in aggregate investment. But trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469888
To update a famous old statistic: a political leader in a developing country is almost twice as likely to lose office in the 6 months following a currency crash as otherwise. This difference, which is highly significant statistically, holds regardless whether the devaluation takes place in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467146
This paper investigates the output effects of IMF-supported stabilization programs, especially those introduced at the time of a severe balance of payments/currency crisis. Using a panel data set over the 1975-97 period and covering 67 developing and emerging-market economies (with 461 IMF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470419
When countries attempt to stabilize annual inflation rates that are greater than 40 percent, the domestic stock market appreciates by 24 percent on average. The present value of the long-run benefits to shareholders of reducing high inflation outweighs the present value of the short-run costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470435
such advantages. First, since information on the quality of investment environments in different countries is in many ways …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473722
created by the liquidity constraint faced by over-indebted countries. Often, adjustment/investment opportunities that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474973
The purpose of this paper is to critically evaluate the IMF's role in the developing countries' adjustment process. In particular, the paper tries to answer the following questions: What model or framework does the IMF use to generate its advice, and is that advice eclectic? Is there evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476145
This paper raises several cautionary notes regarding high-conditionality lending by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in the context of international debt crisis. It is argued that the role for high-conditionality lending is more restricted than generally believed, because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476420