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We propose a rational theory of momentum and reversal based on delegated portfolio management. An investor can hold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464124
In recent years there has been a growing interest in macro models with heterogeneity in information and complementarity in actions. These models deliver promising positive properties, such as heightened inertia and volatility. But they also raise important normative questions, such as whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465884
New surveys provide a wealth of information on how economic agents form their expectations and how those expectations shape their decisions. We review recent evidence on how changes in macroeconomic expectations, particularly inflation expectations, affect households' and firms' actions. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481103
This paper presents a dynamic equilibrium model of bond markets, in which two groups of agents hold heterogeneous expectations about future economic conditions. Our model shows that heterogeneous expectations can not only lead to speculative trading, but can also help resolve several challenges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465881
The decision to protest is strategic: an individual's participation is a function of her beliefs about others' turnout. Models of protest often assume strategic complementarity; however, the challenge of collective action suggests strategic substitutability. We conduct the first field experiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455571
We study whether actions are justified by beliefs, as is usually assumed, or whether beliefs are justified by actions. In our experiment, subjects participate in a trust game, after which they have an opportunity to state their beliefs about their opponent's actions. Subsequently, subjects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458016
in pre-rational expectations macroeconomic theory. Here we show that electoral cycles in taxes, government spending and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477238
theory, strengthening the link between matching theories and earlier human capital analyses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478753
between agricultural productivity, research and information. The first chapter of this part is concerned with the "theory" of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479124
We propose a new approach to modeling the cost of information structures in rational inattention problems, the "neighborhood-based" cost functions. These cost functions have two properties that we view as desirable: they summarize the results of a sequential evidence accumulation problem, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480967