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The paper discusses policy relevant models, going from (1) chronic inflation in the 20th century after WWII, to (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456144
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462667
interest, inflation, currency depreciation and inflation differentials. Forward rates are related to these expected future … variables via combinations of term, inflation and foreign exchange risk premia. A unified derivation, discussion and comparison …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474398
future path of inflation. Mishkin (1990) has recently shown that the spread between the 12-month and 3-month interest rates … helps to predict the difference between the 12-month and 3-month inflation rates. His approach however, lacks a theoretical … the problem of predicting the inflation spread. It is shown that the appropriate indicator of expected inflation can make …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475254
short-run inflation rate. Over the last century real stock prices have shown little reaction to changes in inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475563
This note demonstrates that Bennett McCallum's recent critique of low frequency estimates of macro-economic relationships is of little empirical significance. It also demonstrates that readily available and frequently used techniques can be used to diagnose the problem McCallum raises. Finally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477640
This paper develops two models, one involving risk neutrality and the other risk aversion, which suggest that inflation … evidence supports the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty affects interest rates. Interpreted in terms of the risk neutral … model, the empirical results suggest that inflation uncertainty has a negative impact on nominal interest rates and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478202
housing demand during a period of accelerating inflation (l965_71l). We calculate that typical households who bought houses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478360
inflation on the rate of interest have implicitly ignored the existence of taxes and the problems of tax depreciation. Similarly … of inflation and have ignored the information on the rate of return that investors receive in financial markets. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478842
with expected inflation. Given the importance of this adjustment for questions of both monetary theory and monetary policy … nominal interest rates and expected price inflation, portfolio behavior is the most plausibly flexible in the short run. Since … important lenders' portfolio behavior can be in bringing about the adjustment of interest rates which Fisher's theory associates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478903