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The paper discusses policy relevant models, going from (1) chronic inflation in the 20th century after WWII, to (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456144
inflation rate is -.17. The corresponding correlation for the period 1950 to 1979 is .71. Inflation evolved from essentially a … stochastic process of inflation, rather than a change in any structural relationship between nominal rates and expectedi nflation …. I find little evidence of inflation non-neutrality in data from the gold standard period.This contradicts the conclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477147
This note demonstrates that Bennett McCallum's recent critique of low frequency estimates of macro-economic relationships is of little empirical significance. It also demonstrates that readily available and frequently used techniques can be used to diagnose the problem McCallum raises. Finally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477640
In a recent paper, Canzoneri, Henderson, and Rogoff have shown that it is possible for the monetary authority to peg the nominal interest rate without creating price level indeterminacy in a simplified version of the 1975 Sargent-Wallace model. The present paper begins by reviewing that result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477801
This paper investigates the hypothesis that surprise changes in the money supply and anticipated inflation (the Mundell … surprises and expected real interest or an inverse relationship between anticipated inflation and expected real interest. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478293
housing demand during a period of accelerating inflation (l965_71l). We calculate that typical households who bought houses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478360
This paper reconsiders a result obtained by Sargent and Wallace, namely, that price level indeterminacy obtains in their well-known model if the monetary authorities adopt a policy feedback rule for the interest rate rather than the money stock. Since the Federal Reserve seems often to have used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478574
with expected inflation. Given the importance of this adjustment for questions of both monetary theory and monetary policy … nominal interest rates and expected price inflation, portfolio behavior is the most plausibly flexible in the short run. Since … important lenders' portfolio behavior can be in bringing about the adjustment of interest rates which Fisher's theory associates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478903
short-run inflation rate. Over the last century real stock prices have shown little reaction to changes in inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475563
tax and transfer systems. With constant primary deficits, there exist two steady-states, and the price level and inflation … in the long-run real interest rate, leading to higher inflation for any given monetary policy. Our work highlights the … role of household heterogeneity and market incompleteness in determining inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322820