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) a fiscal multiplier of one and so a missing intercept close to zero. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794586
What is the impact of granular credit risk on banks and on the economy? We provide the first causal identification of single-name counterparty exposure risk in bank portfolios by applying a new empirical approach on an administrative matched bank-firm dataset from Norway. Exploiting the fat tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482214
Economics and history both strive to understand causation: economics using instrumental variables econometrics and history by weighing the plausibility of alternative narratives. Instrumental variables can lose value with repeated use because of an econometric tragedy of the commons bias: each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461979
The SVAR and narrative approaches to estimating tax multipliers deliver significantly different results. The former yields multipliers of about 1 percent, whereas the latter produces much larger multipliers of about 3 percent. The SVAR and narrative approaches differ along two important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462488
flow multiplier''. The main contribution of the paper, however, is empirical. Using a very extensive data set comprised of … more than 13,000 fims over 44 years we examine the determinants of the cash flow multiplier using as explanatory variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462843
Factor supply increases (depresses) output for many of the same reasons that the government spending multiplier might …" and suggest that the government spending multiplier is less than one, even during the recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462850
We argue that the government-spending multiplier can be much larger than one when the zero lower bound on the nominal … larger is the value of the multiplier. After providing intuition for these results, we investigate the size of the multiplier … in a dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium model. In this model the multiplier effect is substantially larger than one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463255
Recent evidence suggests that consumption rises in response to an increase in government spending. That finding cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard new Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb consumers. We show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467100
multiplier where aggregate relationships will overstate individual elasticities. We present a brief model and then estimate the … size of the social multiplier in three areas: the impact of education on wages, the impact of demographics on crime and … group membership among Dartmouth roommates. In all three areas there appears to be a significant social multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469557
. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output … multiplier effects are large and significant and can transmit shocks in very different patterns than predicted from a bilateral …-trade matrix. For example, due to these output-multiplier effects, a shock to one country can have a large impact on countries that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470116