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Foreign portfolio investment is threatened by the risk of default and repudiation, while direct foreign investment is threatened by the risk of expropriation. These two contractual forms of investment can differ substantially in: (1) the amount of capital they can transfer from abroad to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476865
We provide methods of decomposing the variance of world national incomes into components in such a way as to indicate … eigenvectors of a variance matrix of residuals produced when country incomes are regressed on world income. Another method uses a … matrix of deviations of country incomes from their respective contract-year shares of world income. The two methods are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473792
Estimates are made, from time series data on real gross domestic products, of the standard deviations of returns in markets for perpetual claims on countries' incomes. The results indicate that the variability of returns is of a magnitude comparable to that of returns in stock markets. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474555
This paper investigates whether leading indicators can help explain the cross-country incidence of the 2008-09 financial crisis. Rather than looking for indicators with specific relevance to the current crisis, the selection of variables is driven by an extensive review of more than eighty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462605
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458321
This paper implements a liquidity measure, "Liquidity Mismatch Index (LMI)," to gauge the mismatch between the market liquidity of assets and the funding liquidity of liabilities. We construct the LMIs for 2882 bank holding companies during 2002-2014 and investigate the time-series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455951
We use textual analysis of earnings conference calls held by listed firms around the world to measure the amount of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696435
country risk, the paper discusses a number of modifications in the standard theory of efficient international financial … domestic and foreign assets become imperfect substitutes and that world demand for domestic assets is likely to be less than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478620
, especially those with fixed exchange rates. We propose a theory of reserve accumulation that can account for these facts. Using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481517
We propose a new, valuation-based measure of world equity market segmentation. While we observe decreased levels of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463845