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In 2015-2016 Germany experienced a wave of predominantly low-skilled refugee immigration. We evaluate its macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481929
institutions. The euro has operated as a currency without a state, under the dominance of Germany. This has so far allowed the euro … to achieve a number of design objectives, and this may continue, as long as Germany does not shirk its growing … responsibility for the euro's future. Germany's resilience and dominant size within the EU may explain its "muddling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458424
Existing models of contagious currency crises are summarized and surveyed, and it is argued that more weight should be put on political factors. Towards this end, the concept of political contagion introduced, whereby contagion in speculative attacks across currencies arises solely because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471578
This paper, written for the NBER Conference on the Changing Role of the United States in the World Economy, covers the capital account in the U.S. balance of payments. It first traces the history from 1946 to 1980, a period throughout which Americans were steadily building up a positive net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476859
The existing literature on international macroeconomic policy coordination makes the unrealistic assumption that policy-makers all know the true model, from which it follows in general that the Nash bargaining solution is superior to the Nash non-cooperative solution. But everything changes once...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477010
We consider a model in which the level of taxes and seignorage are too low to finance government expenditures and debt service. Government debt will therefore grow without bound, implying the eventual need to change policy. Starting with utility maximization, we analyze the effect of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477065
in pre-rational expectations macroeconomic theory. Here we show that electoral cycles in taxes, government spending and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477238
the paper. Using a simple 7 country model -- consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy,Japan, the United Kingdom, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477580
This paper analyzes the role of relative prices in the conduct of wage indexation and monetary policy in a small economy producing traded and non-traded goods under a flexible exchange rate regime. It is shown that the beneficial effect of using relative prices in addition to aggregate prices as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477864
The paper develops a model of exchange-rate and current-account determination for a small economy peopled by infinitely lived, utility-maximizing households. In this setting, a central-bank purchase of foreign exchange has no real effects when central-bank foreign reserves earn interest at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478526