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A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969-2005. Our model features a forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve and purposeful policymakers that can or cannot commit. Private sector learning about policymaker type...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477255
distortion, e.g., underutilization of capacity and real exchange rate misalignment. However, while under imperfect credibility … by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465476
This paper develops a model of inflation inertia based on optimizing forward looking staggered price setting in a small open economy. Unlike in current models of sticky prices, transitions to a lower steady state inflation rate take time even if they are fully credible, and they are associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469143
credibility of the central bank. In contrast, conducting monetary policy with a flexible inflation target rule is likely to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469417
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are … unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more … inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472353
governors suffer from a generic credibility problem. Federal Reserve chairman appointments stand out in terms of their unusually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465553
Inflation targeting is a monetary policy rule that has implications for both the average performance of an economy and its business cycle behavior. We use a modern, rational expectations model to study the twin effects of this policy rule. The model highlights forward- looking consumption and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473352
This paper studies the effectiveness of forward guidance when central banks have imperfect credibility. Exploiting … expectations. In our model, the key parameter that aggregates heterogeneous expectations captures the central bank's credibility …, and other major advanced economies have similar levels of credibility (albeit far from full credibility); however, Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
Undesirable real effects have been attributed to floating exchange rates in general, and the 1980-83 appreciation of the dollar in particular.In the appreciating country, the U.S., export industries lose competitiveness and so output falls. In the other country, say Europe, the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477992