Showing 1 - 10 of 10,668
This paper explores the role of restrictions on the use of international reserves as economic sanctions. We develop a simple model of the strategic game between a sanctioning (creditor) country and a sanctioned (debtor) country. We show how the sanctioning country should impose restrictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191083
and II, which would seemingly increase uncertainty. In a seminal paper, Schwert (1989) identified the "war puzzle" as one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172137
We develop a theory of interstate conflict in which the degree of genealogical relatedness between populations has a … to go to war with each other, even after controlling for a wide set of measures of geographic distance and other factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463555
From decompositions of U.S. federal fiscal accounts from 1790 to 1988, we describe differences and patterns in how expenditure surges were financed during 8 wars between 1812 and 1975. We also study two insurrections. We use two benchmark theories of optimal taxation and borrowing to frame a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481698
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity …-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices …, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. This war risk factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469089
Why do wars occur? We exploit a natural experiment to test the longstanding hypothesis that leaders declare war because … they fail to internalize the associated costs. We test this moral hazard theory of conflict by compiling data on the 9 …: World War I, World War II, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War. We test for agency problems by comparing the voting behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453810
powers, the government was able to fund the war by borrowing and levying taxes. In major wars, however, there came a point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457446
study grandsons born to grandfathers who served in the Union Army during the US Civil War (1861-5) where some grandfathers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435161
A war-related factor model derived from textual analysis of media news reports explains the cross section of expected … spanning 160 years, the war factor predicts the cross section of returns across test assets derived from both traditional and … hedges for war risk receiving lower risk premia, or with assets that are more positively sensitive to war prospects being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322736
The COVID-19 pandemic as well as the Russian invasion of Ukraine have had profound effects on the global energy landscape, with some of the longer-lasting effects still unfolding. This paper discusses how these events have reshaped the supply side of the global oil market by focusing on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322883