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Cohort Crowding and Youth Labor Markets : A Cross-National Analysis

Korenman, Sanders - 1997

youth cohort size. Finally, due to recent declines in fertility, some European countries will see reductions in the size of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472786

The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies – Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation

Böheim, René; Horvath, Gerard Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Using a highly stylized dynamic microsimulation model, we project the labor force of the United States up to the year 2060 and contrast these projections with projections for Germany to assess differential effects on outcomes The projections are consistent with the U S Census Bureau's and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794562

Tax Aspects of Policy Towards Aging Populations : Canada and the United States

Auerbach, Alan J. - 1990

In comparing Canada with the U.S., we first simulate the U.S. demographic transition, treating the U.S. as a closed economy. The time path of interest rates obtained from the U.S. simulations are then used in the Canadian simulations. In the Canada simulations, Canada is assumed to be an open...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475628

Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections

Calvo, Richard - 2024

Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections since 1952. We envision a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094858

The Missing Baby Bust : The Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Contraceptive Use, Pregnancy, and Childbirth among Low-Income Women

Bailey, Martha J.; Bart, Lea J.; Lang, Vanessa Wanner - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

Multiple episodes in U.S. history demonstrate that birth rates fall in response to recessions. However, the 2020 COVID-19 recession differed from earlier periods in that employment and access to contraception and abortion fell, as reproductive health centers across the country temporarily closed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938691

Minimum Wages and Teenage Childbearing : New Estimates Using a Dynamic Difference-in-Differences Approach

Rees, Daniel I.; Sabia, Joseph J.; Margolit, Rebecca - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

The minimum wage is increasingly viewed as an important tool for improving public health outcomes, including reducing childbearing among teenagers. Taken at face value, recently reported estimates suggest that raising the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour could reduce the number of teenage...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660012

Women in Science. Lessons from the Baby Boom

Kim, Scott Daewon; Moser, Petra - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

How do children affect women in science? We investigate this question using rich biographical data, linked with patents and publications, for 83,000 American scientists in 1956 at the height of the baby boom. Our analyses reveal a unique life-cycle pattern of productivity for mothers. While...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660113

The Puzzle of Falling US Birth Rates Since the Great Recession

Kearney, Melissa Schettini; Levine, Phillip B.; Pardue, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

This paper documents a set of facts about the dramatic decline in birth rates in the United States between 2007 and 2020 and explores possible explanations. The overall reduction in the birth rate reflects declines across many groups of women, including women who differ by race and ethnicity,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629506

Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections

Dahl, Gordon B.; Lu, Runjing; Mullins, William - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic … group targeted by Trump, see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites …. Further, following Trump pre-election campaign visits, relative Hispanic fertility declines …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599348

The US COVID-19 Baby Bust and Rebound

Kearney, Melissa Schettini; Levine, Phillip B. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

This paper documents how the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. affected birth rates. We review the economics of fertility …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191094

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