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We present a theory of choice among lotteries in which the decision maker's attention is drawn to (precisely defined … distinguish it from Prospect Theory, which we test. We also use the model to modify the standard asset pricing framework, and use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462269
This paper focuses on Social Security benefit claiming behavior, a take-up decision that has been ignored in the previous literature. Using financial calculations and simulations based on an expected utility maximization model, we show that delaying benefit claim for a period of time after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471466
We argue that narrow framing, whereby an agent who is offered a new gamble evaluates that gamble in isolation, separately from other risks she already faces, may be a more important feature of decision-making under risk than previously realized. To demonstrate this, we present evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468695
Using implicit expected utility theory, a money metric of utility derived from playing a lottery game is developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464626
We find consistent evidence of negative autocorrelation in decision-making that is unrelated to the merits of the cases considered in three separate high-stakes field settings: refugee asylum court decisions, loan application reviews, and major league baseball umpire pitch calls. The evidence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026883
We study the asset pricing implications of Tversky and Kahneman's (1992) cumulative prospect theory, with particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465720
In this paper we analyze the problem of whether and/or when to replace a leader (agent) when no monetary rewards are available, and it is the leader's competence rather than effort that is being evaluated. The only decisions that the leader takes over time are whether to undertake risky but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458366
. We focus on regret theory and the use of "regret lotteries" for motivating behavior change. Here, findings from one … theory and experiments, we replicate regret lotteries as the superior one-shot incentive; however, for repeated decisions the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635722
This paper considers the appropriate stabilization objectives for monetary policy in a microfounded model with staggered price-setting. Rotemberg and Woodford (1997) and Woodford (2002) have shown that under certain conditions, a local approximation to the expected utility of the representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467851
-scale income fluctuations than they are to large income fluctuations. Commitments also create a gambling motive. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468483