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This paper examines stock market co-movements. It begins with a discussion of several conceptual issues involved in measuring these movements and how to test for contagion. Standard tests examine if cross-market correlation in stock market returns increase during a period of crisis. The measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471523
The 1990s emerging-markets crises were characterized by sudden reversals in inflows of foreign capital followed by unusually large declines in current account deficits, private expenditures, production, and prices of nontradable goods relative to tradables. This paper shows that these Sudden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470386
This paper analyzes the co-movement of the exchange rates and the stock prices from the viewpoint of contagion among the eight countries in the region during the period of Asian currency crisis, 1997-1999. Ito and Hashimoto (2002; NBER working paper) proposed a new definition of high-frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468245
In the new situation with flexible exchange rates, monetary policy in Europe will have to rely more on indicators than previously under fixed rates. One of the potential indicators, the forward interest rate curve, can be used to indicate market expectations of the time-paths of future short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474301
monetary policy. The theory unifies an endogenous supply of illiquid local loans and risk-sharing among subsidiaries of bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456534
economies. Although much of the discussion concentrates on East Asia and Mexico, I also draw on the history of some previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471557
Macroeconomic consequences of a large currency depreciation among the crisis-hit Asian economies had varied from one country to another. Inflation did not soar in most Asian countries, including Thailand and Korea, after the exchange rate depreciated during the crisis. Indonesia, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466270
I implement two major approaches to identifying the equilibrium exchange rate. First, the concept of purchasing power parity is tested and used to define the equilibrium real exchange rate for the Indonesian rupiah, Korean won, Malaysian ringgit, Philippine peso, Singapore dollar, Taiwanese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472311
Several alternative measures of "effective" exchange rates are discussed in the context of their theoretical underpinnings and actual construction. Focusing on contemporary indices and recently developed econometric methods, the empirical characteristics of these differing series are examined,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467158
Using a novel, high frequency dataset on capital control actions in 16 emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2001 to 2012, we provide new insights into the domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls. Increases in capital account openness reduce monetary policy autonomy and increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457844