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Stock prices react significantly to the tone (negativity of words) managers use on earnings conference calls. This reaction reflects reasonably rational use of information. "Tone surprise" - the residual when negativity in managerial tone is regressed on the firm's recent economic performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457675
We study the properties of the carry trade, a currency speculation strategy in which an investor borrows low-interest-rate currencies and lends high-interest-rate currencies. This strategy generates payoffs which are on average large and uncorrelated with traditional risk factors. We argue that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464592
This paper will discuss the role of derivative products in international capital flows, especially in providing a means …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472188
We propose a nonparametric estimation procedure for continuous- time stochastic models. Because prices of derivative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473524
In the last ten to fifteen years financial derivative securities have become an important, and controversial, product …, the difficulties with accurately reporting timely information concerning the value of firms' derivative positions, and the … concentration of activity in a small number of firms, has substantially increased the risk of collapse of the world banking system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473787
Estimates are made, from time series data on real gross domestic products, of the standard deviations of returns in markets for perpetual claims on countries' incomes. The results indicate that the variability of returns is of a magnitude comparable to that of returns in stock markets. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474555
We develop a model of equilibrium entry, trade, and price formation in over-the- counter (OTC) markets. Banks trade derivatives to share an aggregate risk subject to two trading frictions: they must pay a fixed entry cost, and they must limit the size of the positions taken by their traders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459749
In this paper we document first that, in contrast with their widely perceived excess returns, popular carry trade strategies yield low systemic-risk-adjusted returns. In particular, we show that carry trade returns are highly correlated with the return of a VIX rolldown strategy --i.e., the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460016
Derivatives exposures across large financial institutions often contribute to - if not necessarily create - systemic risk. Current reporting standards for derivatives exposures are nevertheless inadequate for assessing these systemic risk contributions. In this paper, I explain how a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461100
We present a description of two different accounting regimes that govern reporting practice in most developed countries. 'One-book' countries, e.g. Germany, use their tax books as the basis for financial reporting and 'two-book' countries, e.g. the United States, keep the books largely separate....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474247