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depends on the concentration of these aggregate shocks; it follows that one cannot estimate the degree of risk aversion from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477289
assets in the economy is greater than zero, an increase in inflation uncertainty will lower the risk premia on all real … assets. (3.) A preliminary empirical test of the theory using rates of return on common stocks, long-term bonds, real estate … and commodity futures contracts yields mixed results. The risk premia on long-term bonds and futures have the "wrong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478775
technologies and are subject to both aggregate and idiosyncratic income risk. The different asset trading technologies, which are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458339
In recent articles, I have argued that integrated assessment models (IAMs) have flaws that make them close to useless as tools for policy analysis. IAM-based analyses of climate policy create a perception of knowledge and precision that is illusory, and can fool policy-makers into thinking that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457569
Changes in both the macroeconomy and in macroeconomics suggest that the IS-LM-AS model is no longer the best baseline model of short-run fluctuations for teaching and policy analysis. This paper presents an alternative model that replaces the assumption that the central bank targets the money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471315
or unsound argument'. The 'fiscal theory of the price level', recently re-developed by Woodford, Cochrane, Sims and … proponents of the fiscal theory of the price level do not accept the fundamental proposition that the government's intertemporal …. Policy conclusions could be drawn from the fiscal theory of the price level that would be harmful if they influenced the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471482
The welfare economic method for analyzing the case for government intervention is often criticized for ignoring the political determination of policies. While many economists accept the thrust of this critique, exactly when and how political determination interferes with a welfare economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471713
Learning or experience curves are widely used to estimate cost functions in manufacturing modeling. They have recently been introduced in policy models of energy and global warming economics to make the process of technological change endogenous. It is not widely appreciated that this is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464011
Macroeconomists have largely converged on method, model design, reduced-form shocks, and principles of policy advice. Our main disagreements today are about implementing the methodology. Some think New Keynesian models are ready to be used for quarter-to-quarter quantitative policy advice; we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464338
This paper studies how stable over time are the so-called "structural parameters" of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. To answer this question, we estimate a medium-scale DSGE model with real and nominal rigidities using U.S. data. In our model, we allow for parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465487