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activity and inflation as latent variables. We incorporate these latent variables into a factor-augmented vector autoregression … activity and inflation, consistent with previous studies. In contrast to much of the literature, however, we find that central …-bank-determined changes in Chinese interest rates also have substantial impacts on economic activity and inflation, while other measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458147
external instruments produce responses in output and inflation consistent with both textbook theory and conventional monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458442
inflation and persistence in output. The key features of our model are those that prevent a sharp rise in marginal costs after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470317
Introducing heterogeneous households to a New Keynesian small open economy model amplifies the real income channel of exchange rates: the rise in import prices from a depreciation lowers households' real incomes, and leads them to cut back on spending. When the sum of import and export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533421
activity and inflation and present new evidence, using both a relatively unrestricted factor-augmented vector autoregression … activity and inflation in recent decades as compared to the effects before 1980. Our analysis suggests that these shifts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462771
The relatively infrequent nature of major credit distress events makes an historical approach particularly useful. Using a combination of historical narrative and econometric techniques, we identify major periods of credit distress from 1875 to 2007, examine the extent to which credit distress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463261
We revisit recent evidence on how monetary policy affects output and prices in the U.S. and in the euro area. The response patterns to a shift in monetary policy are similar in most respects, but differ noticeably as to the composition of output changes. In the euro area investment is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468712
We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481049
Nighttime lights data are a measure of economic activity whose error is plausibly independent of the measurement errors of most conventional indicators. Therefore, we can use nighttime lights as an independent benchmark to assess existing measures of economic activity (Pinkovskiy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295
This paper argues that, in studying the monetary policy transmission process, more emphasis should be given to the systematic portion of policy behavior and correspondingly less to random shocks basically because shocks account for a very small fraction of policy-instrument variability. Analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471390