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We use a novel pricing model to filter times series of diffusive volatility and jump intensity from S&P 500 index … about twice the premium required to compensate the same investor for the realized volatility, 5.8 percent. Moreover, the ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467775
Exchange rates depreciate by the difference between the domestic and foreign marginal utility growths. Exchange rates vary a lot , as much as 10% per year. However, equity premia imply that marginal utility growths vary much more, by at least 50% per year. This means that marginal utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470316
-style models and models in which the state variables are the stochastic long-run mean and volatility of r. Third, we compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472684
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
including the Black-Scholes setup with infrequent trading, and a model with stochastic stock volatility and a varying riskfree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473370
The optimal-diversification model of investors' portfolio behavior can give a linear relationship between the exchange risk premium and the conditional exchange rate variance. This note surveys recent empirical work that allows for the conditional variance itself, and therefore the risk premium,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476701
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479665
correlated, contrary to what theory suggests - for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453372
help to explain the enormous counter-cyclical volatility of aggregate risk compensation in financial markets. To answer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463268
-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465457